Middle East — Regional Conflict Risk

Geopolitical tensions, ongoing conflicts, and energy security risks across the Middle East region. Monitoring 17 countries with real-time risk assessments.

Regional Tension

16
critical
↓ Declining (10 events)

Russia says seven killed as Ukrainian drone hits crowded Russian beach - Egypt Independent

Hotspots
🇮🇷Iran2 events
🇵🇸Palestine2 events
🇮🇱Israel1 events

Risk Distribution

critical0
high3
medium2
low3
minimal8

Middle East Countries by Risk Level

1🇮🇷
Iran

Iran faces critical internal conflict marked by frequent high-severity military operations and missile strikes on its territory.

high
2🇮🇱
Israel

Israel faces critical border tensions with ongoing military operations and external drone attacks impacting its territorial security.

high
3🇸🇾
Syria

Syria faces ongoing internal conflict with persistent external military pressure from Israeli strikes on its territory.

high
4🇦🇫
Afghanistan

Afghanistan faces high internal conflict driven by frequent cross-border military operations and missile strikes from Pakistan.

medium
5🇾🇪
Yemen

Yemen faces medium internal conflict marked by ongoing military operations and drone attacks targeting its territory.

medium
6🇮🇶
Iraq

Iraq experiences medium internal conflict marked by ongoing military operations and missile strikes targeting its territory.

low
7🇱🇧
Lebanon

Lebanon faces low internal conflict but medium border tension due to ongoing Israeli military operations on its territory.

low
8🇱🇾
Libya

No direct events reported in Libya, but military or conflict activity has been detected in neighboring countries. Border and spillover risks are being monitored.

low
9🇧🇭
Bahrain

No significant conflict-related events have been reported in Bahrain in the last 72 hours. Current conditions appear stable based on available intelligence.

minimal
10🇪🇬
Egypt

Limited military or security incidents were detected in Egypt. While the overall risk remains low, the nature of events warrants monitoring.

minimal
11🇯🇴
Jordan

Jordan faces minimal domestic risk despite being targeted by high-severity missile strikes and military operations from foreign actors.

minimal
12🇰🇼
Kuwait

Kuwait faces minimal domestic risk despite intercepted Iranian drones and missile strikes on its territory.

minimal
13🇴🇲
Oman

Oman experiences minimal domestic risk despite isolated missile and military strikes on its territory.

minimal
14🇶🇦
Qatar

No significant conflict-related events have been reported in Qatar in the last 72 hours. Current conditions appear stable based on available intelligence.

minimal
15🇸🇦
Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia faces minimal domestic risk despite multiple high-severity external strikes on its territory.

minimal
16🇹🇷
Turkiye

No direct events reported in Turkiye, but military or conflict activity has been detected in neighboring countries. Border and spillover risks are being monitored.

minimal

Middle East Security Overview

Geopolitical tensions, ongoing conflicts, and energy security risks across the Middle East region. WarMap monitors 17 countries across the Middle East region, providing real-time conflict risk assessments based on military events, political developments, and geopolitical tensions.

Currently, 0 countries in Middle East are at critical risk level, 3 at high risk, and 2 at medium risk. Explore individual country profiles for detailed intelligence reports, or compare military capabilities using our comparison tool.