Middle East — Regional Conflict Risk

Geopolitical tensions, ongoing conflicts, and energy security risks across the Middle East region. Monitoring 17 countries with real-time risk assessments.

Regional Tension

6.3
medium
↑ Rising (7 events)

🇮🇱❌🇱🇧 — Israeli airstrike reported in Al-Qussair, southern Lebanon.

Hotspots
🇱🇧Lebanon1 events
🇾🇪Yemen1 events
🇾🇪Yemen1 events

Risk Distribution

critical0
high1
medium4
low9
minimal3

Middle East Countries by Risk Level

1🇸🇾
Syria

Syria faces high internal conflict risks driven by persistent low-level instability without recent escalation.

high
2🇦🇫
Afghanistan

Limited military or security incidents were detected in Afghanistan. While the overall risk remains low, the nature of events warrants monitoring.

medium
3🇮🇶
Iraq

Limited military or security incidents were detected in Iraq. While the overall risk remains low, the nature of events warrants monitoring.

medium
4🇴🇲
Oman

No direct events reported in Oman, but military or conflict activity has been detected in neighboring countries. Border and spillover risks are being monitored.

medium
5🇾🇪
Yemen

Yemen faces high internal conflict marked by ongoing military operations and missile strikes within its territory.

medium
6🇪🇬
Egypt

No direct events reported in Egypt, but military or conflict activity has been detected in neighboring countries. Border and spillover risks are being monitored.

low
7🇮🇷
Iran

Iran faces moderate internal conflict risks with limited domestic incidents and low border tensions.

low
8🇮🇱
Israel

Israel experiences low domestic risk with no active internal conflict but faces medium border tensions and travel risks.

low
9🇯🇴
Jordan

Jordan maintains domestic stability with no recent internal conflicts and low travel risk.

low
10🇰🇼
Kuwait

No direct events reported in Kuwait, but military or conflict activity has been detected in neighboring countries. Border and spillover risks are being monitored.

low
11🇱🇧
Lebanon

Lebanon experiences no active internal conflict but faces medium border tension due to external military actions.

low
12🇱🇾
Libya

Libya experiences medium internal conflict levels without recent high-severity incidents, maintaining overall low domestic risk.

low
13🇸🇦
Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia experiences low domestic conflict but faces high border tensions.

low
14🇹🇷
Turkiye

No direct events reported in Turkiye, but military or conflict activity has been detected in neighboring countries. Border and spillover risks are being monitored.

low
15🇧🇭
Bahrain

Bahrain experiences minimal domestic risk with no internal conflict or travel threats.

minimal
16🇶🇦
Qatar

No direct events reported in Qatar, but military or conflict activity has been detected in neighboring countries. Border and spillover risks are being monitored.

minimal
17🇦🇪
United Arab Emirates

The United Arab Emirates faces minimal domestic risk with no internal conflict or border tensions.

minimal

Middle East Security Overview

Geopolitical tensions, ongoing conflicts, and energy security risks across the Middle East region. WarMap monitors 17 countries across the Middle East region, providing real-time conflict risk assessments based on military events, political developments, and geopolitical tensions.

Currently, 0 countries in Middle East are at critical risk level, 1 at high risk, and 4 at medium risk. Explore individual country profiles for detailed intelligence reports, or compare military capabilities using our comparison tool.